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Dec 31, 2014 · The MJO consists of two parts, or phases: one is the enhanced rainfall (or convective) phase and the other is the suppressed rainfall phase. Strong MJO activity often dissects the planet into halves: one half within the enhanced convective phase and the other half in the suppressed convective phase.
Feb 22, 2018 · In the past couple of weeks the MJO has stalled out and substantially weakened ( link to real time) and there is uncertainty in the future progression of the MJO —some models suggest the MJO will continue to shift eastward and others suggest the MJO will weaken further.
Dec 19, 2005 · Forecast of MJO associated anomalous OLR for the next 15 days from the ensemble mean GFS based on forecasts of RMM1 and RMM2. Blue (yellow/red) shades show negative (positive) OLR anomalies and enhanced (suppressed) convection. Forecasts do not include direct contributions from other climate modes such as ENSO, monsoons, etc. - only the MJO.
Mar 23, 2023 · MJO amplitude changes also emerge earlier over the eastern Pacific than other parts of the tropics. Our findings provide valuable information on the potential changes of MJO variability with...
Dec 15, 2022 · By Craig Brokensha (Craig) Thursday, 15 December 2022. Share on. Get Your MJO On. Craig Brokensha (Craig) Swellnet Analysis. Thursday, 15 December 2022. While the southern states are shivering under relentless polar intrusions, to the north of the country it looks like we'll see increasing tropical activity into the final week of the year.
Dec 12, 2005 · MJO Task Force Dynamical Model MJO Forecasts; The U.S. CLIVAR program instituted a MJO working group to study and develop diagnostics and metrics related to various components related to the MJO during 2006. A subgroup was organized to focus on MJO operational prediction and was tasked to develop a MJO forecast metric for comparison of ...
Jun 29, 2020 · 37 Citations. 123 Altmetric. Metrics. Abstract. The Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a slow-moving tropical mode that produces a planetary-scale envelope of convective storms. By exciting...
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Jul 28, 2020 · With widespread influence on global climate and weather extremes, the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) plays a crucial role in subseasonal prediction. Our latest global climate models (GCMs ...